225 | Superforecasting

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We talk to David Spiegelhalter, Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, about the science of forecasting.  Who or what are the superforecasters?  How can they help governments make better decisions?  And will intelligent machines ever be able to outdo the humans at seeing into the future?   From Cummings to coronavirus, a conversation about the knowns, unknowns and what lies beyond that.